Brasileirão Série A · regular season - 19Thu 16 Jul, 22:30 UTC

Botafogo vs Santos

Full time

2 – 1

Botafogo win

Result & over/under verdicts are judged on the 90' score only.

Result: ✓ called it (favored Botafogo win 50%)O/U 2.5: ✗ (3 goals)BTTS: ✗ (both scored)

Botafogo xG

1.44

Santos xG

1.01

✦ Adjusted for team news

high confidence

Botafogo faces key absences in attack and midfield, including Junior Santos and Allan, while Santos is severely hampered by the unavailability of multiple starting attackers like Gabigol, Neymar, and Moisés, alongside midfield absentees Gabriel Bontempo and João Schmidt.

Match result (adjusted)

50%

28%

23%

Botafogo win50%

Draw28%

Santos win23%

Total goals (adjusted)

38%

62%

Over 2.538%

Under 2.562%

Both teams to score (adjusted)

42%

58%

Yes42%

No58%

Botafogo

ATK -8%DEF -3%

Inconsistent

• Junior Santos W · starter · injured
• Bastos CB · rotation · injured
• Allan CM · starter · injured
• Nathan Ribeiro CB · reserve · injured
• Kaio Pantaleão CM · reserve · injured
• Álvaro Montoro CM · rotation · suspended
• Danilo AM · starter · doubtful

Santos

ATK -20%DEF -4%

Improving

• Gabriel Bontempo CM · starter

Researched by gemini-2.5-flash. AI adjustments are bounded to ±20% of the model and can be wrong — treat as informed context, not fact.

Base model (before team news)

Match result (1X2)

47%

27%

Botafogo win47%

Draw27%

Santos win27%

Total goals

44%

56%

Over 2.544%

Under 2.556%

Both teams to score

Scoreline probabilities

Most likely score: Botafogo 1–1 Santos (13%)

home goals \ away goals	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	9	4	1	0	0
1	12	13	6	2	1	0
2