UEFA Champions League · League phaseWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Experimental: club strengths are learned per domestic league, so cross-league fixtures like this are approximate.
Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain
Manchester City xG
1.73
Paris Saint-Germain xG
1.31
Model probabilities
Match result (1X2)
47%
24%
29%
Manchester City win47%
Draw24%
Paris Saint-Germain win29%
Total goals
58%
42%
Over 2.558%
Under 2.542%
Both teams to score
60%
40%
Yes60%
No40%
Match result, over/under and both-teams-to-score are for 90 minutes only — regulation plus referee stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not counted.
Scoreline probabilities
Most likely score: Manchester City 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain (11%)
home goals \ away goals
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
6
4
2
1
0
1
8
11
7
3
1
0
2
7
9
6
3
1
0
3
4
5
4
2
1
0
4
2
2
2
1
0
0
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
↓ Manchester City goalsParis Saint-Germain goals →