Neutral venue — no home advantage applied.
Both England and Argentina enter the semi-final after demanding extra-time victories, suggesting potential fatigue, with England missing midfielder Jordan Henderson due to injury and Argentina defender Leonardo Balerdi.
Researched by gemini-2.5-flash. AI adjustments are bounded to ±20% of the model and can be wrong — treat as informed context, not fact.
Match result and over/under are for 90 minutes only — regulation plus referee stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not counted.
Who ultimately goes through — the 90' result, or the winner after extra time and penalties if it's level.
Extra time modeled at ~⅓ of the 90' scoring rate; a shootout as a coin flip.
| home goals \ away goals | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 6 |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|---|