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FIFA World CupTue 14 Jul, 19:00 UTC
Neutral venue — no home advantage applied.
France vs Spain
France xG
0.99
Spain xG
0.98
✦ Adjusted for team news
high confidenceBoth France and Spain are in exceptional form, having performed strongly in the 2026 FIFA World Cup and recently in Euro 2024, with full-strength squads and high motivation for this crucial fixture.
Match result (adjusted)
34%
31%
35%
France win34%
Draw31%
Spain win35%
Total goals (adjusted)
31%
69%
Over 2.531%
Under 2.569%
France
ATK +10%DEF +8%
Excellent, winning 5 of their last 5 World Cup matches with a strong attack (14 goals scored) and defense (2 goals conceded).
No key absences reported
Spain
ATK +8%DEF +12%
Exceptional, winning 5 of their last 5 World Cup matches with a strong attack (11 goals scored) and exceptional defense (1 goal conceded), having also won Euro 2024.
No key absences reported
Researched by gemini-2.5-flash. AI adjustments are bounded to ±20% of the model and can be wrong — treat as informed context, not fact.
Base model (before team news)
Match result (1X2)
35%
31%
34%
France win35%
Draw31%
Spain win34%
Total goals
32%
68%
Over 2.532%
Under 2.568%
Scoreline probabilities
Most likely score: France 0–0 Spain (14%)
| home goals \ away goals | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 1 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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